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John Metchie III

John Metchie III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

John Metchie III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2500/-8750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -8750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone run rate.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

John Metchie III has been been lightly used his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

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