My Account Log Out
 
 
John Metchie III

John Metchie III Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
John Metchie III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • In this week's contest, John Metchie III is forecasted by the projections to place in the 78th percentile among wideouts with 6.7 targets.
  • While John Metchie III has been responsible for 11.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in New York's pass game in this week's contest at 21.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (54.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Patriots linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™