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John Metchie III

John Metchie III Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
John Metchie III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+155/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.
  • The projections expect John Metchie III to accumulate 6.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • While John Metchie III has garnered 8.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New York's pass game this week at 22.5%.
  • John Metchie III's 79.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.4% rate.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.5%) to wideouts this year (69.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.

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