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John Metchie III

John Metchie III Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

John Metchie III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles last year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

Last year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered a colossal 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-highest rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Dallas's collection of safeties has been lousy last year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Eagles, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 49.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

While John Metchie has been responsible for 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Philadelphia's passing offense in this contest at 1.5%.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.

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