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John Metchie III

John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
John Metchie III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13.5-point underdogs.
  • In this week's contest, John Metchie III is forecasted by the projections to place in the 76th percentile among wideouts with 6.2 targets.
  • While John Metchie III has been responsible for 11.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in New York's pass game in this week's contest at 19.5%.
  • The Patriots pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.3%) versus wide receivers this year (67.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (54.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call only 63.7 total plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • John Metchie III has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (24.0 per game).
  • John Metchie III's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, averaging a measly 5.64 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.49 rate last year.
  • John Metchie III's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 2.9% rate.

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