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John Metchie III

John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
John Metchie III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Brady Cook.
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.2 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, John Metchie III is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers with 7.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-heavy team in the league (54.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jets.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • After totaling 24.0 air yards per game last season, John Metchie III has seen a big decline this season, currently sitting at 14.0 per game.
  • John Metchie III's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 7.5 mark.
  • John Metchie III's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.88 mark last season.

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