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John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

John Metchie III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.

The projections expect John Metchie III to accumulate 6.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

While John Metchie III has garnered 8.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New York's pass game this week at 22.5%.

John Metchie III's 79.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.4% rate.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.5%) to wideouts this year (69.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.

After averaging 24.0 air yards per game last season, John Metchie III has gotten worse this season, now pacing 11.0 per game.

John Metchie III's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 2.9% mark.

This year, the tough Dolphins defense has conceded a measly 120.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-fewest in football.

More John Metchie III Player Props

John Metchie III Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14