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John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

John Metchie III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-103/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a massive 14-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.

The projections expect John Metchie III to be much more involved in his offense's air attack in this game (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).

This year, the porous Ravens defense has given up a staggering 165.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (57.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.

After accruing 24.0 air yards per game last season, John Metchie III has gotten worse this season, now averaging 4.0 per game.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

John Metchie III has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More John Metchie III Player Props

John Metchie III Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12