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John Metchie III

John Metchie III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

John Metchie III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-119).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The Houston Texans offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.94 seconds per snap.

The projections expect John Metchie to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game in this week's game (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

This year, the anemic Titans defense has been gouged for a whopping 181.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-worst in the NFL.

This year, the shaky Tennessee Titans pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to pass on 55.2% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

With a subpar 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (21st percentile) this year, John Metchie ranks as one of the worst pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

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