My Account Log Out
 
 
John Bates

John Bates Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
John Bates Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • While John Bates has garnered 3.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Washington's pass game in this contest at 9.0%.
  • John Bates's 81.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a remarkable progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 70.2% figure.
  • The Eagles safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • With a feeble 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (24th percentile) this year, John Bates rates among the weakest pass-catching TEs in the NFL.
  • This year, the strong Eagles defense has given up a mere 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™