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John Bates

John Bates Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
John Bates Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • John Bates's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 70.2% to 74.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
  • John Bates ranks as one of the worst tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a lowly 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 19th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.4%) versus TEs this year (66.4%).
  • The Broncos safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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