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This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.As it relates to air yards, John Bates grades out in the lowly 25th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accruing just 3.0 per game.
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