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John Bates

John Bates Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
John Bates Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • John Bates's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 70.2% to 74.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).
  • John Bates grades out as one of the worst TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a mere 10.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 19th percentile when it comes to TEs.

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