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John Bates

John Bates Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
John Bates Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • While John Bates has garnered 3.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Washington's pass game in this contest at 9.0%.
  • John Bates's 81.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a remarkable progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 70.2% figure.
  • The Eagles safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • With a weak 11.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (20th percentile) this year, John Bates stands as one of the weakest pass-catching TEs in the league.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a mere 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best in the league.
  • This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a puny 5.7 yards.

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