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The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.With a feeble 12.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (19th percentile) this year, John Bates stands among the weakest tight ends in the pass game in football.The Vikings pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against TEs this year, allowing 6.81 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the league.
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