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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

The projections expect Joe Mixon to garner 17.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

With a remarkable total of 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Joe Mixon has been as one of the best RBs in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run on 39.5% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Joe Mixon has been a much smaller piece of his offense's ground game this season (61.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (72.0%).

More Joe Mixon Player Props

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