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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 136.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 19.8 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Joe Mixon has garnered 71.9% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Joe Mixon's 77.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his rushing proficiency over last year's 61.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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