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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Joe Mixon is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.9 carries.
  • Joe Mixon has earned 74.6% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (84.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run on 35.7% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in football (just 81.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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