This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 39.9% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 91.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.The Kansas City Chiefs safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
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