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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 82.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 78.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.

The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to total 20.9 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Among all RBs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 74.9% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

Joe Mixon has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (92.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans as the 9th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 105.0 per game) versus the Dolphins defense this year.

The Dolphins defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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