Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 87.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 86.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 87.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 8-point advantage, the Texans are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their normal approach.
The Texans have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to accrue 21.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Out of all running backs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 99th percentile for carries this year, comprising 72.8% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
Joe Mixon has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (98.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
This year, the poor Tennessee Titans run defense has been gouged for a whopping 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 26th-largest rate in the league.
The Tennessee defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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