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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 79.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to notch 20.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all running backs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 98th percentile for carries this year, comprising 70.0% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
  • Joe Mixon's 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a noteworthy boost in his running proficiency over last season's 61.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 100.0 per game) versus the Lions defense this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Detroit's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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