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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects Joe Mixon to accrue 17.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Joe Mixon has been given 70.7% of his offense's run game usage last year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Joe Mixon has averaged 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (88th percentile).

Last year, the deficient Colts run defense has surrendered a monstrous 130.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans as the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With a very bad tally of 2.51 yards after contact (12th percentile) last year, Joe Mixon rates as one of the least effective RBs in football.

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