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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accrue 13.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has averaged 64.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (86th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game this week (54.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (74.4% in games he has played).
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 95 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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