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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a staggering 61.4 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to earn 4.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Joe Mixon's 19.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.2.

Joe Mixon comes in as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.

Joe Mixon's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 83.5% to 69.7%.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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