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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With a top-tier 53.6% Route Participation% (89th percentile) last year, Joe Mixon has been among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in football.

In this game, Joe Mixon is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.0 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense last year: 7th-fewest in football.

Last year, the daunting Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a puny 77.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

More Joe Mixon Player Props

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