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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Texans this year (a staggering 61.4 per game on average).
  • The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to earn 4.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Joe Mixon's 19.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.2.
  • Joe Mixon ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an exceptional 22.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • Joe Mixon's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 83.5% to 69.7%.
  • This year, the formidable New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a feeble 4.6 YAC.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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