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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this contest, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the projections to land in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 4.2 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 5-point favorite in this game.

Joe Mixon's 39.7% Route Participation% this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his passing attack workload over last season's 53.5% rate.

Joe Mixon's 73.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 83.5% figure.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 9th-fewest in the league.

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