My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Houston Texans profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

The New England Patriots pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against running backs this year, conceding 5.86 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Patriots pass defense has surrendered the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a paltry 3.4 YAC.

More Joe Mixon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™