Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon's 11.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.6% rate.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
Joe Mixon has totaled a paltry -8.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Joe Mixon's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 21.4.
Joe Mixon's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 32.0 figure.
Joe Mixon's 78.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 86.0% mark.

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