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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon's 11.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Joe Mixon has totaled a paltry -8.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Joe Mixon's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 21.4.
  • Joe Mixon's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 32.0 figure.
  • Joe Mixon's 78.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 86.0% mark.

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