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Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 5-point favorite in this game.The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average).The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to earn 19.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.Among all RBs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 98th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 66.4% of the workload in his offense's running game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 38.0% run rate.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of DTs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.
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