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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 136.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 19.8 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Joe Mixon has garnered 71.9% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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