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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Joe Mixon is expected by the projection model to rank in the 89th percentile among RBs with 19.3 carries.

While Joe Mixon has earned 70.9% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Houston's rushing attack in this contest at 80.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Texans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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