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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Joe Mixon is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 96th percentile among running backs with 21.3 rush attempts.

Among all running backs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 99th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 74.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 39.9% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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