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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 26.84 seconds per snap.

In this week's contest, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 22.2 rush attempts.

Out of all RBs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 99th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 73.5% of the workload in his offense's run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (38.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Houston Texans.

The Jacksonville defensive ends profile as the 8th-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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