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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to notch 20.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Out of all running backs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 98th percentile for carries this year, comprising 70.0% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Detroit's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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