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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Joe Mixon to accrue 17.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has been given 70.7% of his offense's run game usage last year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's unit has been atrocious last year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Houston Texans as the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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