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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to notch 15.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Arizona defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the model to call just 61.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

While Joe Mixon has earned 84.8% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Cincinnati's ground game this week at 74.8%.

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