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Joe Flacco Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Joe Flacco Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-2200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.

Making up 12.9% of his team's red zone run game usage this year (76th percentile among quarterbacks), Joe Flacco's mobility makes him a serious threat on the ground near the end zone.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

With a feeble 61.8% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, Joe Flacco places among the least on-target quarterbacks in the league.

More Joe Flacco Player Props

Joe Flacco TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Joe Flacco Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12