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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Flacco TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-260/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -260.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may throw the ball less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Flacco.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 68.5% of their opportunities: the highest rate on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% red zone pass rate.

This week, Joe Flacco is forecasted by the projection model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 40.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

In regards to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Joe Flacco's throwing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 64.4% to 57.8%.

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