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Joe Flacco TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Flacco TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% red zone pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Joe Flacco ranks as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 24th percentile.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.

More Joe Flacco Player Props

Joe Flacco TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Flacco TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11