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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

Joe Flacco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a huge 10-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 32.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Browns to call the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

In this game, Joe Flacco is forecasted by our trusted projection set to garner the fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.3.

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