Joe Flacco Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Joe Flacco

QB · New York Jets

Interceptions

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Flacco Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens have intercepted 0.56 targets per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst defense in football by this standard
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 5th-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The New York Jets O-line has given their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.