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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Joe Flacco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 35.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Joe Flacco to notch 1.6 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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