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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+740/-1200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.0% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.1% red zone pass rate.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • In this week's contest, Joe Burrow is forecasted by the model to have the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the stout Browns defense has surrendered a measly 1.38 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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