My Account Log Out
 
 
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 130.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to throw 41.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most among all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 48.8 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™