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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.

In this week's game, Joe Burrow is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.5.

Joe Burrow's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.2% to 71.9%.

With an outstanding ratio of 2.00 per game (90th percentile), Joe Burrow stands among the leading TD passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the daunting Browns defense has yielded a measly 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Browns defense has allowed the 7th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.00 per game this year.

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