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Joe Burrow
NFL · Player Props
Joe Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals
TD Passes
New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM EST
NFL Props Joe Burrow TD Passes

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -154.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Joe Burrow has attempted 37.5 passes per game this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile among QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Joe Burrow has been among the most accurate QBs in the league this year with an impressive 69.0% Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the New England Patriots defense this year (65.6%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
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