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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bengals as the 5th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • In registering a measly 1.4 rush attempts per game this year, Joe Burrow ranks among the bottom QBs in the league (23rd percentile) when talking about running volume.
  • Joe Burrow is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a measly 7.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • Joe Burrow's 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects an impressive decline in his running talent over last year's 12.0 figure.

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