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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.22 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • The Arizona defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 38.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to garner 2.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Joe Burrow's 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a noteable regression in his running proficiency over last year's 12.0 figure.
  • Joe Burrow's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging a mere 2.06 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 6.49 mark last season.

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